Tips for Picking a Horse That Will Win Today

Tips for Picking a Horse That Will Win Today

The key to spotting a horse that is mentally and physically ready to win is to look for telltale consistency clues.

One of the best measurements of consistency is to track the horse's gain between the head of the stretch and the finish line for the last three races. Don't worry about where the horse placed in each race just as long as it showed a gain between the stretch and the finish line for each race run.

A horse that shows a consistent gain is a horse that is motivated to win. The closer a good horse gets to being a winner the harder the horse will work to cross the finish line first.

Unless the horse is being purposely run far above his class, the horse will be "due" to win very soon. You can bet on it.

While discussing consistency, remember that favorites have a higher tendency to win. Year in and year out, on all tracks, approximately one of every three favorites will win.

The horse which goes to the post with the second lowest odds wins 22 per cent of the time, or roughly one out of five; and the horse with the third lowest odds wins 12 per cent of the time, or roughly one out of eight. The actual percentage figure for the favorites is 35 per cent winners.

When you add up these figures it becomes apparent that in all races 69 per cent of the winners, (win, place, or show) will come from the horses which are among the three leading choices in the final betting.

This pattern is so consistent and has held constant for so long, the you can regard it as a reliable pattern. In addition, it is important to keep track of a horse's weight. A horse's weight plays an important role in its performance.

As little as a two or three pound shift in weight, up or down, can have a big impact on the horse's performance when combined with the jockey's weight.

Track conditions must also be considered because, as a rule, a horse's weight takes on more significance when it is running on an muddy track. Of course, some horses naturally do better on an off track because they like to run in the mud.

A few other tips to consider before placing a bet are:

Usually, more experienced horse win a race. That's why a 3-year-old that is entered in a race for 3-year-olds and UP, will usually have a poor chance of winning if everything else is equal.

Fast breaking horses do better when they draw a post position that is near the rail. That's because a fast breaker can take off in a whirl and the jockey can cut over fast and either take the lead or place his horse in the best racing position.

In addition, rememeber that older horses usually do better on muddy tracks because the mud feels good on their tired feet. The cool and soft mud soothes their tender feet and they can gallop away at full speed.

And those are tips that you can take the next time you go to the track or bet online.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Richard Bleuze provides articles and information on the sport of horse betting. You can find out more on his website,http://www.bettingthehorsesonline.com

About The Author ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Richard Bleuze provides articles and information on the sport of horse betting. You can find out more on his website, http://www.bettingthehorsesonline.com